Protecting Sderot and the murky waters of politics

Dr. Reuven Pedatzur, a person whose opinion one should certainly respect in all matters military, writes in Haaretz on the amazing discovery: the much touted Iron Dome anti-rocket system will not be able to protect Sderot from the Qassams. He demolishes the whole idea using simple arithmetics, so you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to understand it:

The distance from the edge of Beit Hanun to the outskirts of Sderot is 1,800 meters. Therefore, a rocket launched from Beit Hanun takes about nine seconds to hit Sderot. The developers of Iron Dome at Rafael Advance Defense Systems know that the preparations to simply launch the intercept missiles at their target take up to about 15 seconds (during which time the system locates the target, determines the flight path and calculates the intercept route). Obviously, then, the Qassam will slam into Sderot quite a number of seconds before the missile meant to intercept it is even launched.

But besides not being able to protect the border communities, Iron Dome will also not be able to cope with rockets that are launched much farther away. According to data available from Rafael, the average flight time of the intercept missile to the point of encounter is another 15 seconds. In other words, to intercept a rocket using Iron Dome requires at least 30 seconds. This is the time it takes a Qassam to cover six kilometers.

Pedatzur adds:

The disturbing question is why no one bothered to apprise the prime minister of this simple calculation, to make it clear to him that Iron Dome, in the development of which his government decided to invest hundreds of millions of dollars, will not be able to protect Sderot.

The article was published on February 22, and today (February 24) Olmert continued touting Iron Dome as the ultimate solution:

Olmert said the protection of Gaza-area communities will include a combination of solutions such as the Iron Dome defense system, an early-warning system, new school buildings in addition to the partial fortification of homes.

Strange, ain’t it? And there are more disturbing questions, such as the cost of each intercept missile (about $100,000), its ability to tackle mortar shells (about 0), but most of all the curious (to say the least) rejection of all and any US-made protective systems. It looks like a pathological case of NIH (Not Invented Here) syndrome:

Part of the explanation for the opposition to the laser system may lie in remarks made by Shimon Lavie, from the R&D directorate, who was the officer of the Nautilus project in the United States, on the “Fact” TV program, broadcast on Channel 2 last December. “We in the directorate are responsible for developing blue-and-white [Israeli-made] systems, which the Nautilus was not. We had hoped for intense cooperation with Israeli firms. If that had happened, it might have had an influence [on the decision about whether to acquire the laser system].”

Bingo. There is no need to add anything, is there? The article mentions other strange items, such as the fate of the (initially) joint US-Israeli development of the laser defense system Nautilus / Skyguard, and much more – worth reading in its entirety.

It is also worth mentioning that while the citizens of Sderot remain unprotected and crying for help and while mandarins fight their turf wars, several anti-rocket and anti-mortar systems are coming to maturity and being used in the field, protecting US troops in Iraq.

Another expert claims that the solution to Qassams already exists.

Farber’s suggestion is to deploy American artillery batteries called Phalanx around the Qassam-battered town of Sderot, to intercept the rockets fired by Palestinians.

The U.S. army has been successfully operating the system in Iraq, where it provides its bases with protection from rockets and mortar shells.

Something definitely smells fishy in the whole business.

Cross-posted on SimplyJews.

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Daily job - software development. Hobbies - books, books, friends, simgle malt Scotch, lately this blogging plague. Amateur photographer, owned by 1. spouse, 2 - two grown-up (?) children and 3. two elderly cats - not necessarily in that order, it is rather fluid. Israeli.
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7 Responses to Protecting Sderot and the murky waters of politics

  1. John M says:

    Hey, they’re using my Phalanx idea!

    A few stray 20-mike shells falling in Gaza is worth ith.

  2. A says:

    Perhaps it’s a lack of trust? If they use an American system, the Americans can simply shut it down with a backdoor.

  3. Herschel says:

    As I stated before, my firm designs and builds the controller for the Phalanx.
    Trust me, you do not want 20mm bullets that do not hit the intended target, falling back into a populated area, even if its hell hole Gaza.

    “The gatling gun fires 20mm ammunition at either 3,000 or 4,500 rounds-per-minute with a burst length of continuous, 60, or 100 rounds.”

  4. Kain says:

    Herschel, you state that “you do not want 20mm bullets that do not hit the intended target falling back into a populated area”

    I wonder what you believe the alternative to be? There has to be a better place for the bullets to fall than on top of Sderot…

    I am not well-informed on the technological options available, and it seems that the only way to provide adequate defense would require some form of collateral damage…

  5. Herschel says:

    The difference between us and the barbarians is that we would feel remorse if a catastrophe ocurred and many Gaza children were killed by stray
    bullets, while the other side would rejoice and give out candy if Israeli children were killed by the barbarians.

    There are other defenses [specifically laser technology] in development but are not yet ready to be deployed. The other possibilty is that Phalanx may be usable if the bullets that do not hit the rockets have a trajectory that continues past land and out to sea.
    I do not know the width of the Gaza strip where the rockets are being fired into Israel, or the maximum effective distance of the 20mm bullets.
    I am sure this is being reviewed by the IDF and they will make the necessary decisions.

    My own personal belief, is that Israel should start destroying a Gaza building belonging to Hamas every time a rocket is fired into Israel.

  6. Michael Lonie says:

    Move the border until it is out of Qassem range of Sderot. Let no one build or move in the land between the old and new borders. If the Palis start firing longer range rockets at Israel, move the border further. Explain to the Gazans that if they let Hamas or Fatah continue shooting rockets into Israel the border may end up at Rafah. Tell them that if they do not want that to happen they had better get Hamas and Fatah to stop shooting at Israel. Explain to them that if they make war on Israel, Israel will make war back at them, and they really don’t want that to happen.

  7. Kain says:

    Those sound like excellent suggestions. There has to be consequence, it seems, and yes, of course we don’t want random citizens to pay with their lives (especially children!) Moving the border back makes absolute sense. Destroying a building for every rocket fired makes sense as well. Peace will not be won through concessions, but through strength and consequence.

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